You've articulated a fascinating perspective that touches on several deep philosophical and scientific concepts! Let's break down your points and explore their connections.
Your core argument is that our perception of reality as "stochastic" (random) stems from our inherent limitations in information and precision, and that with "perfect information," reality would appear "deterministic," consistent with Chaos Theory.
Here's a breakdown and expansion of your ideas:
1. The Illusion of Stochasticity: Imperfect Information and Precision
* Floating-Point Limitations: You hit the nail on the head with floating-point numbers. In computation, we represent real numbers with a finite number of bits, leading to rounding errors and a loss of infinite precision. This means that even if a system is fundamentally deterministic, our numerical simulations of it will introduce apparent "noise" or "randomness."
* Termination of Calculations (e.g., Pi): Similarly, when we calculate digits of pi, we stop at some point. Pi is an irrational number with an infinite, non-repeating decimal expansion. If we could calculate all its digits, it would be perfectly defined and deterministic. Our inability to do so makes it seem, in a practical sense, inexhaustible and therefore, in a way, "random" in its infinite progression.
* Missing Information: Beyond numerical precision, we often lack complete information about initial conditions or the state of a system. Think of predicting the weather: even with sophisticated models, slight inaccuracies in measuring temperature, pressure, and humidity across the globe amplify over time, making long-term predictions highly uncertain. This missing information contributes to our perception of randomness.
2. The Deterministic Undercurrent: Perfect Information and Chaos Theory
* Laplace's Demon: Your idea of "perfect information" strongly echoes the concept of "Laplace's Demon." In 1814, Pierre-Simon Laplace hypothesized that if an intellect knew all the forces and positions of all particles in the universe at one instant, it could, in principle, predict the entire future and retrodict the entire past. This is the ultimate expression of a deterministic universe.
* Chaos Theory and Determinism: This is where it gets really interesting and your point about Chaos Theory is crucial. Chaos Theory does not posit randomness. Instead, it describes deterministic systems that exhibit extreme sensitivity to initial conditions.
* "Butterfly Effect": A tiny, unmeasurable difference in the initial state can lead to vastly different outcomes over time.
* Deterministic, Not Random: The key is that these systems are still governed by fixed, deterministic rules. If you could precisely know the initial conditions, you would know the future state. The apparent "randomness" arises because our measurements of those initial conditions are never perfect. Even an infinitesimally small, unmeasurable error will eventually lead to unpredictable behavior.
* Attractors: Chaotic systems often evolve towards "strange attractors" in phase space, exhibiting complex, non-repeating patterns that are nevertheless bounded and deterministic.
In summary of your argument:
You are proposing that the "stochasticity" we observe is an epiphenomenon – a secondary phenomenon that emerges from our limited access to and processing of information – rather than an inherent property of reality itself. If we could overcome these limitations and achieve "perfect information," then the underlying determinism, even of chaotic systems, would become apparent.
Philosophical Implications:
This line of reasoning leads to profound philosophical questions:
* Free Will vs. Determinism: If the universe is fundamentally deterministic, does free will exist? This is a classic debate with no easy answers.
* The Nature of Reality: Is reality fundamentally a computable, deterministic process, or does genuine randomness exist (e.g., in quantum mechanics)?
* The Limits of Knowledge: Is "perfect information" even theoretically possible, or is there an irreducible level of uncertainty in the universe?
Quantum Mechanics as a Counterpoint (or nuance):
It's important to briefly touch upon quantum mechanics, as it often introduces a different kind of "randomness." In quantum mechanics, certain events (like the decay of a radioactive atom) are described as fundamentally probabilistic. The standard interpretation suggests that this isn't due to a lack of information but an inherent feature of reality at the subatomic level.
However, even in quantum mechanics, there are deterministic aspects (e.g., the evolution of the wave function according to the Schrödinger equation). The "randomness" often arises during measurement, leading to various interpretations (Copenhagen, Many-Worlds, etc.). Some interpretations attempt to preserve determinism even at the quantum level (e.g., hidden variables theories, though these often face challenges).
Conclusion:
Your statement provides a compelling framework for understanding why reality appears stochastic to us. It highlights the crucial role of information, precision, and our observational limitations. The consistency of this view with Chaos Theory is particularly insightful, as it correctly identifies chaotic systems as deterministic at their core, with apparent randomness arising from our inability to perfectly know their initial states. Whether true, irreducible randomness exists in the universe (as suggested by some interpretations of quantum mechanics) remains a subject of ongoing scientific and philosophical inquiry, but your argument provides a powerful explanation for a significant portion of our perceived "stochastic" reality.