That's an excellent question, and it highlights a crucial distinction in how probability enters physics in these two domains. While both Classical Statistical Mechanics (CSM) and Quantum Mechanics (QM) use probability extensively, the *reason* for using it and its *fundamental status* are generally considered very different.
Here's a breakdown of the key differences:
1. **Origin and Nature of Probability:**
* **CSM:** Probability arises fundamentally from **ignorance** or **incomplete information**. We have a system of many particles (~10²³) obeying deterministic classical laws (Newton's/Hamilton's equations). In principle, if we knew the exact position and momentum of every single particle (the microstate), the future evolution would be perfectly predictable. However, we *cannot* know or track this information. Probability distributions (like the microcanonical ensemble assigning equal probability to accessible microstates) are introduced as a tool to manage this complexity and make predictions about macroscopic averages, reflecting our ignorance of the precise microstate. It's **epistemic** (related to knowledge) or based on **typicality** (most microstates behave similarly).
* **QM:** Probability seems more **fundamental** and **objective** (in most interpretations, though debated). Even for a *single* particle described by a wavefunction |ψ⟩, QM only predicts the *probabilities* of different outcomes if a measurement is performed. Before measurement, the system might be in a superposition, not having a definite value for the measured property. The probability given by the Born rule (|⟨outcome|ψ⟩|²) is often considered an irreducible feature of the measurement process itself. It's not (in most views) simply due to ignorance of some underlying definite state, but reflects an inherent indeterminacy or stochasticity.
2. **Underlying Dynamics:**
* **CSM:** Assumes underlying **deterministic** classical laws. Probability is layered on top.
* **QM:** Has deterministic evolution *between* measurements (Schrödinger equation, Unitary evolution U). Probability enters dramatically during the **measurement process** (via Collapse Postulate R, objective collapse dynamics U', branching, or emergence from hidden variables + QEH, depending on interpretation).
3. **Nature of Randomness:**
* **CSM:** Randomness is **apparent/effective**. It stems from our inability to track the deterministic micro-details.
* **QM:** Randomness is often considered **fundamental/irreducible** (in Copenhagen, OCTs). In deterministic interpretations (MWI, BM), it's apparent/effective but arises differently than in CSM (from branching/subjective uncertainty in MWI, or ignorance of hidden variables in BM).
4. **Source of Uncertainty:**
* **CSM:** Uncertainty about the **precise microstate** (positions/momenta) within a known macrostate.
* **QM:** Uncertainty about the **outcome of a future measurement** on a system whose state (|ψ⟩) might be perfectly known, but which describes a superposition of possibilities.
5. **Mathematical Representation:**
* **CSM:** Probability distributions over **classical phase space** (a space where each point represents a definite state with specific positions and momenta for all particles).
* **QM:** Probabilities derived from **wavefunction amplitudes** (complex numbers) in **Hilbert space** (an abstract vector space where states can be superposed).
**Analogy:**
* **CSM Probability:** Like predicting the outcome of flipping a classical coin 1000 times. The underlying physics is deterministic, but tiny variations in initial conditions (how you flip it, air currents) make the outcome practically unpredictable. We use probability (50/50) based on symmetry and ignorance of these details.
* **QM Probability:** More like predicting whether a *single* radioactive atom will decay in the next minute. According to standard QM, there's an inherent probability it will decay, described by its wavefunction/half-life. It's not typically thought that the atom "knows" exactly when it will decay based on hidden classical variables; the probability seems intrinsic (in most interpretations).
**In summary:**
| Feature | Classical Statistical Mechanics (CSM) | Quantum Mechanics (QM) |
| :--------------- | :------------------------------------------------------- | :------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ |
| **Probability** | Epistemic (Ignorance) / Typicality | Objective / Fundamental (in most views) |
| **Dynamics** | Deterministic (Classical) | Deterministic (Unitary U) + Probabilistic (Measurement R/U'/Branching/QEH) |
| **Randomness** | Apparent / Effective | Fundamental (CI/OCTs) or Apparent (MWI/BM) |
| **Uncertainty** | About exact Microstate | About future Measurement Outcome |
| **Math Space** | Phase Space | Hilbert Space |
| **Reason** | Complexity / Incomplete Info | Inherent Indeterminacy / Measurement Process / Wavefunction Nature |
So, while both use statistics, CSM uses it because the deterministic reality is too complex to track, whereas QM uses it (in most views) because reality itself is inherently probabilistic at the measurement level, or requires a probabilistic description even when the underlying dynamics might be deterministic (MWI/BM).