| Entity Type | Name | Likely Influence | | --- | --- | --- | | **Research Group** | IBM Research | Continue to lead in superconducting qubit technology and develop practical applications. | | **Research Group** | Google Quantum AI | Achieve further breakthroughs in quantum hardware, algorithms, and error correction. | | **Research Group** | Microsoft Quantum | Make significant progress in topological qubits and quantum software. | | **Individual** | Scott Aaronson | Provide valuable insights into the capabilities and limitations of quantum computers. | | **Individual** | John Martinis | Contribute to the development of scalable quantum computers. | | **Individual** | Michelle Simmons | Drive innovation in silicon-based quantum computing. | | **Company** | IBM | Expand its quantum computing fleet and Qiskit platform. | | **Company** | Alphabet (Google) | Continue to develop cutting-edge quantum processors and cloud services. | | **Company** | Microsoft | Advance quantum software and cloud-based quantum computing services. | | **Technology** | Superconducting Qubits | Remain a dominant technology, with improvements in coherence times and error correction. | | **Technology** | Trapped Ions | Achieve higher scalability and find wider applications. | | **Technology** | Photonic Quantum Computing | Become increasingly competitive, with breakthroughs in scalability and photon loss reduction. | | **Technology** | Silicon Spin Qubits | Demonstrate potential for integration with existing semiconductor manufacturing processes. | | **Milestone** | Logical Qubits | Become more prevalent, improving error correction and stability. | | **Milestone** | Specialized Quantum Computers | Find niche applications and demonstrate early commercial value. | | **Milestone** | Networking NISQ Devices | Increase computational power and enable new research directions. | | **Milestone** | Software Abstraction | Make quantum computing more accessible to a wider range of users. | | **Milestone** | Hybrid Quantum-Classical Applications | Lead to practical applications in various fields. | | **Milestone** | Quantum Advantage | Be demonstrated in specific tasks by 2025. | | **Milestone** | Quantum-Inspired Algorithms | Offer improved efficiency for optimization and machine learning problems. | | **Trend** | Convergence of Quantum Computing and AI | Accelerate the development of both fields, leading to new capabilities. | | **Trend** | Geopolitical Implications | Increase competition and cooperation between nations in quantum research and development. |